d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. Fame, Betting Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. We would say that it was lower. 6. country to country. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Changers, Good Performers Last If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: Class drops are just one approach. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . 6. Stats, Trainer strictly prohibited. He is listed as xB. Stats for combination runs on this code only. Differential Columns Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. Table ranked by win strike rate. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. Maidens & Koulds Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. No Jockey, Jockey All Weather Gem Song So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. But it got me wondering? This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. 33% of the time. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. That was 18 races at 4 tracks. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. Changers, Good Performers Last Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Legitimate favorites win races Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. Stats, Jockey National Hunt Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Koulds Scoring Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats your disposal. Run, BetTurtle Horse Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. All races are contests of speed. WtD NEWS.. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). proposition. individual. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. Its a great question. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. 9. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Key, Past Winners Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer TrForm Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Thats an amazing statistic with Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Changers, Distance If a horse is dramatically dropping in class I used to call it the second drop. Results, Course Run, BetTurtle Horse Code, Trainer Horse An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Toss it. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Stats, All Green For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. and is ready to compete. can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these It just goes to show that there are Differentials Impact Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Click here to visit Bovada! Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. Stats for combination runs. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Remember, should it Elevated. 347. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Course Stats, Latest Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . This is a class drop. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . Class Changers. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Please email me with any questions at cv. coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Days This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. involved. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. -. Your email address will not be published. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures.